What an amazing thing it was! Western
nations sensing great danger to the world if Iran's nuclear program
should lead to the development of nuclear arms, Iran struggling with
the decay of an economy stalemated by sanctions imposed by the same
Western nations. That they talked and talked past deadlines, through
nights and finally, finally all signed off on a joint undertaking constitutes a near-miracle.
The hawks descended immediately. We've
been duped! Iran can't be trusted to keep its promises! President
Obama defended the agreement, insisting that the safeguards built in
assured the world that promises would be kept. The Israeli prime
minister characterizing it at the same time as a colossal and
historic blunder.
The chances are, of course, that
Netanyahu will have been proven right in the end. There is also a
chance that the agreement will serve as an historic lesson in the
effectiveness of persistent diplomacy, especially when compared to
the US invasion of Iraq, Russian military interference in Ukraine,
Western military involvement in Libya, etc.
Life is not about certainties, it's
about weighing options and choosing best chances. Sorting out which
choices produce best chances is the tough part, but beating back the
hawkish critics in this case seems to me to constitute a feather in
Obama's cap. I hope history proves him right.
Canada's response to this agreement is
disappointing, if expected. We will judge Iran by its actions, not
by it's words. The words,
however, are the words of our
allies as well as those of Iran so at best, Canada has said nothing.
At worst it has declared its non-confidence in the judgement both of
Iran and our allies.
For
lack of international affairs savvy, the Harper government has
painted itself into a corner: its unconditional support of Israel and
its need to maintain good relations with the USA and other Western
allies have meant effectively that we can't say
anything without jeopardizing one or the other relationship. We've
written ourselves out of the story.
We
need a new government. One that isn't so doctrinaire that it blindly
wanders down allies and roads that have no exits. October can't come
too soon.